Evaluating the Success of Russian Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine

Adam, Gage (2017) Evaluating the Success of Russian Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine. Undergraduate thesis, under the direction of Joshua First from History, The University of Mississippi.

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Abstract

This thesis investigates Russia’s use of hybrid warfare in Ukraine, and whether the endeavor was successful. In order for Russian hybrid warfare to have been successful, the costs and repercussions of their actions must not outweigh their achieved goals. For this thesis, it was assumed that Russia’s goals are: locking NATO and the EU out of Russia’s remaining sphere of influence, demonstrating Russian solidarity, gaining territory, and boosting popularity for the current administration. Russia was able to achieve all of these goals with the annexation of Crimea and use of military force in the Donbass region. The costs of these actions included high military spending, infrastructure costs and financial losses, and international backlash. This can be separated into the economic and political sector. Economically, Russia faces massive costs, which are sure to increase in the coming years, in an already weakened economy. Politically, Russia has been shunned by the West and now seeks closer ties with its eastern neighbors. While these costs are high, EU and NATO presence has not spread further West, Russia has shown its ability to act in the region, and Putin’s popularity in Russia remains extremely high. With these factors in mind, it can be deemed that Russia’s hybrid war in Ukraine was successful, although marginally so.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Creators: Adam, Gage
Student's Degree Program(s): B.A. in International Studies
Thesis Advisor: Joshua First
Thesis Advisor's Department: History
Institution: The University of Mississippi
Subjects: D History General and Old World > DK Russia. Soviet Union. Former Soviet Republics
Depositing User: Gage Adam
Date Deposited: 16 May 2017 16:02
Last Modified: 16 May 2017 16:02
URI: http://thesis.honors.olemiss.edu/id/eprint/933

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